Tomorrow's Beach Forecasts

          Tuesday should be a pretty nice day for our regions beaches. Overall mostly sunny skies will be the ruler with some very isolated thunderstorms, that if happen will not ruin your beach day! Have a great Tuesday and stay right here for the latest severe thunderstorm updates, here are the forecasts!

All Around Weather Analysis - June 22, 2013

Severe T-Storm Index: 
Low Activity

A slight risk for strong to severe thunderstorms runs from Sunday through Wednesday. Minimal activity is expected and chance of impact on your area is low. From Thursday through next weekend, a slight - moderate risk exists for Pennsylvania. New Jersey, New York, as well as all of Southern New England. Isolated activity is possible with risk of impact low to moderate. Main threats: damaging winds in excess of 60 mph and small hail. Probability of a tornado: nearly 0%. Preparation activity needed is nearly nothing, normal thunderstorms could occur in this time period.

Heat Index:
Significant Activity

Slightly above average temperatures are expected throughout the course of the weekend with highs topping out from the 70's to the 80's region wide. A medium duration heat wave is anticipated starting Monday of next weekend, and stretching through midweek, ending Wednesday or Thursday, depending on location. Temperatures will range from 80's in the north to 90's in the south. Thursday - Saturday is expected to have dropping temperatures, about 2 degrees per day. Be sure to drink lots of water and remain hydrated when being exposed to high heat.

Precipitation Index: 
Low - Medium Activity

Little to no precipitation is expected from today - Sunday. an increased probability of precipitation will occur Monday and last into the mid to late week as instability is widespread through atmosphere. Maximum chance of precipitation in region: 30%. From Thursday - Saturday, a low pressure system will enter the Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Western New York area. Expected precipitation amounts range from a half an inch in the Northeastern tier on Pennsylvania to near an inch in Northwestern Pennsylvania. Maximum probability of rainfall at current point: 50%.

Drought Index: 
Low Activity

An abnormally dry time period with the lack of precipitation could lead to a lack of plant growth. No drought conditions are expected at this time in any part of the region. A relief is likely to come later next week. Area most at risk of below normal precipitation is in the lakes region on Central New York. Any change in forecast has a minimum chance of occurrence.

Tropical Index: 
Medium Activity

No tropical activity is expected to to the unfavorable upper and mid level wind conditions at this point, causing increased levels of shear across common tropical development region. Long range index includes an increased possibility for tropical development in the Caribbean. Probability of tropical entity forming in next 10 - 15 days remains around moderate. Keep informed on all development by keeping track of all National Hurricane Center updates and forecasts.

Weekly Weather Update

Find out what kind of weather is on the way here in the Eastern US, is a heat wave on the way for the beginning of summer? Find Out Don't forget to like Northeast Weather Action on facebook!

Tomorrow's Severe T-Storm Threats

             Tomorrow will definitely not pack the magnitude and widespread nature of strong and severe thunderstorms as today, but there will still be a decent threat of storms. The area with the highest threat of strong to severe thunderstorms tomorrow will be from central Ohio and into southern Pennsylvania, then sliding over to the Jersey Shore. Damaging winds and small hail could be imbeded in severe thunderstorms, so watch out for the threat of that. this forecast also has futurecast radars for those who love graphics! Stay safe and have a great evening!

Sunday - Monday WPC Total Precipitation Forecast

          As if we need more rain, but don't worry, this event is not going to be like the latest rainstorms we have just had. The rain from this event will be centered in Western new York, where there will be straight rain, and into New England. But as you head into Ohio, PA, and into New Jersey, you run the risk for strong  and/or severe storms.

What Happened To The Severe Weather Today?

        As yesterday, the thought was that today we were going to have one of the strongest and most intense severe weather outbreaks of the year. Everyone from the Storm Prediction Center to Northeast Weather Action predicted this. So why didn't we get severe thunderstorms? Well that is a very good question and has a few general answers. I'm sure people from Southern Pennsylvania to Northern Virginia were woken up by a line of severe thunderstorms this morning. Well that line of severe thunderstorms really robbed the atmosphere of all of the instability and shear that was predicted to be present throughout today. After that line of showers and storms passed through the region, we were socked in by clouds which completely ruined the chances of severe thunderstorm formation for today. So in general, the line this morning acted as a shield and protected the area from severe storms.

          When you look at the radar, you see intense severe thunderstorms in Virginia or off the coast. Well now you might ask, why do they have severe storms and we have nothing? Very good question once again, but yet again has answers. The reason is because those locations didn't see the squall line in which we did. This in which opened the door for severe weather and didn't close the door on instability, which we here in the Northeast, had the door closed on by. Many people are grateful for this occurrence, but for the storm chasers, no no no, not today! As always be sure to stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest updates, forecasts, and outlooks on all northeast weather action!

Tomorrow 12 AM – Friday 10 AM Final Rainfall Forecast

          Here are the final thoughts on rainfall coming early tomorrow morning through around 10 AM Friday and also the updated rainfall totals forecast from the Weather Prediction Center.

New Rainfall Forecast From Tonight - Friday Afternoon

          Here is the updated rainfall forecast for tonight through Friday Afternoon, stay dry!

Forecast For Additional Rain This Evening - Tomorrow Night

          With areas already receiving in excess of two to as much as 3 inches of rain so far with this event, even more rain is likely as be added to that this evening through tomorrow night. From Northern New Jersey and into New England, mainly heavy rainfall with a few scattered thunderstorms is anticipated, but as you head south, the story changes. In Southern Pennsylvania, a tornado watch is in effect for the possibility of severe thunderstorms that could include damaging winds and possibly tornadoes. Watch out for heavy rain in those storms as well. The watch is until 10:00 PM EST. After today finishes up, tonight a front will come through, and you might think everything is wrapped up. Well it's not because behind this front, more showers and thunderstorms will be around the region. So stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest updates as well as forecasts and outlooks on all Northeast weather action. Here is the forecast for additional rainfall amounts that will fall between this evening and tomorrow night. 

Rain Still To Fall Between This Morning - Tomorrow Night

          As heavy rainfall in some spots has already fallen, more rain is expected to fall between now through tomorrow night. Watch out for minor street flooding as well as those streams in your back. After that watch our for some heavy thunderstorms in the afternoon that could be on the severe side as well as just plain downpours. Some of the moisture believe it or not is thanks to tropical moisture, so that is why areas around the coast and just inland could receive the most rainfall. The heaviest rainfall is anticipated to fall between Mt.Pocono, PA, into southeastern New York and over to Springfield, Massachusetts. Watch out for more rain later in the week. Read that forecast to find out where that rain will fall and how much. 

Weather Prediction Center's Rainfall Forecasts

Day 1 Rain Forecast:

Day 2 Rain Forecast:

Day 3 Rain Forecast:

Days 1 - 3 Total Rain Forecast

Updated Rainfall Totals Forecast For This Afternoon Through Tuesday Night

          Here is the new rainfall forecast for this afternoon - Tuesday Night. As you can see, the forecast totals are really rising. This is thanks to the precipitation now looking more widespread instead of yesterday when we were thinking thunderstorms and heavy rain only by the coast. Now it looks like the heaviest rain will be from around Springfield, MA through areas in and close to Scranton, PA. But overall areas anywhere from Watertown, New York, to Boston. This will be a significant rainfall for the region so stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest forecasts and updates on this rainy situation as well as all other northeast weather action. The final rain forecast for this event will be released around the middle part of this afternoon.

Updated Sunday Evening - Tuesday Night Rainfall Totals Forecast

          Here is the new forecast for possible rainfall totals between Sunday Evening through Tuesday Night. A few showers will be around our region tomorrow evening and tomorrow night. After that, scattered thunderstorms will be around the region, but around coastal areas and as far west as Harrisburg, PA and Berkshire Mountains, some tropical moisture will tap into the storms and create a widespread rain event. This will all occur Monday Afternoon and last into the night. Then on Tuesday, a few thunderstorms will be around the region once again, and could tap into more tropical mositure, but not as much as Monday. So for these reasons, locations that are coastal and slightly farther inland  will see the most rain. This is just adding to the rain we have just recieved from Tropical Storm Andrea.

Is Even More Rain Coming? Find Out!

          Tropical Storm Andrea impacted the northeast with heavy rain in  with rainfall amounts in excess of six inches in some locations. So this might have you thinking we are going to have lots of sun now, well that is not correct really at all. A strong low pressure system in the central and high plains will dump heavy rain there, which is good for them because of the upcoming fire season. But where exactly will all of this rain go, well read on to find out! Well the low will glide east into the Midwest and them through the Ohio Valley, eventually into our region, by Monday. The low will then cut through western Pennsylvania and central New York, and into west-central New England, through Maine.

          The rainfall totals should be a widespread 1 to as many as 3 inches. The most rain will fall in an area that was hammered by lots of rain yesterday, New England. Here is the HPC's rain forecast for the next 1 - 3 days, but this is not the only storm that is coming to our area, so be sure to read on after the forecast graphic.

          Yet another rainstorm is coming for the middle of next week, but the track of it will be slightly more south then this storm coming on Monday. This storm will ride though central and northern Ohio, into extreme southwestern New york and western PA. From this point the storm will, likely go into south central Pennsylvania, into northern West Virginia, and Maryland and New Jersey. Rainfall from that will be from about 1 to as much as 2 inches. Keep stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest rainfall forecasts on these storms as well as forecasts and outlooks on all northeast weather action!

Rain Still To Fall From Fast Moving T.S. Andrea + Tropical Storm Andrea’s Effected Areas And Forecast Track

The Rain Is Falling In The Big Apple

Final Forecast For Total Rain Amounts From T.S. Andrea

Total Rainfall Forecast For Tropical Storm Andrea

1st Update On T.S. Andrea And It's Affects On The Northeast

Total Precipitation Forecast From Both Lows