Friday, August 23, 2013

2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook - 2nd Update Summary

          This year's 2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook - 2nd Update will be the most detailed winter outlook released this year yet. It will feature the following:

- August 2013 Plume of ENSO Models Graphic
- August 2013 Jamstec Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Graphic
- Updated CFS v2 z200 Model Graphic(s)
- Updated GFDL z200 Model Graphic
- Positive PNA Pattern Effects Graphic
- NAO Pattern Effects Graphic
- Sunspot Cycles (With Predictions) Graphic
- Composite Temperature Anomalies Graphic
- Temperature Anomaly Graphic
- 2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook - 2nd Update Temperatures Outlook Graphic
- 2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook - 2nd Update Precipitation Outlook Graphic
- 2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook - 2nd Update Snowfall Outlook Graphic
- 2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook - 2nd Update Storm Tracks Outlook Graphic
- Common Storm Track(s) Animation Graphics
- 2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook - 2nd Update Overall Winter Expectations Graphic
- 2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook - 2nd Update Contributing Factors Graphic
- Possible Radar Image(s) Graphics
- Thanks For Watching/Notice Graphics
- Winter Outlook Schedule Graphic

Monday, August 19, 2013

Upcoming Warm Up Details and What We Are Expecting After The Warm Up

          It has been quite a while since we have had a warm up, but it appears as that streak will be shattered by a ridge that will overtake the Lower 48. Temperatures will be overwhelmingly warm across the west as they already have been, but for temperatures here in the Northeast US, we should only expect 90 as a maximum and most likely nothing more. This all will likely start tomorrow with the upper 70's in the northern part of the area to the middle 80's in the southern locations of the region. By Wednesday we should be having widespread 80's and as high as 90.

          Just to say, because many people care about this factor, It also could be a little on the humid side of things because of the chance of thunderstorms. Wednesday and Thursday will definitely be the warmest days but by Friday, a trough will dig down into the northeast from Eastern Canada and provide slightly cooler air that will likely hold highs down into the 80's at most. In the longer range, after the warm up we should expect temperatures to return back to after average. Here is the Climate Prediction Center's 8 - 14 Day Temperature Outlook. So thanks for reading, keep cool during this warm and have a great rest of your day.


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