The tropics have been calm for the past several weeks, ever since Dorian. But they look to activate once again with currently two areas of interest in the tropical Atlantic. Lets start with the most important and impacting system, which is closer to home, especially in the southeast. An area of disturbed weather located in the Eastern Caribbean, is rather quickly moving northwest, will be impacted by land in the next day or two, and then will likely move back into the western Gulf of Mexico.
During it's time in the Gulf of Mexico, some strengthening may occur to the low pressure system, but it won't have much time to strengthen. The expected track is it to at first move northwest, and then after being impacted by Central America, curve to more of a northerly track. This particular system has a good chance if making some kind of landfall in the Texas through Alabama area. The intensity at landfall is still very much undetermined.
According to the National Hurricane Center, that tropical system has about a 70% chance of forming into a tropical entity. We will keep you updated on every new development on that storm system. Now lets get to the next system, which is now as off 11:00 PM on Wednesday Night, Tropical Depression #5. This depression is moving west-northwest at about 15 mph, and will likely change to just a western movement in a couple days.
We will have lots of time to track this syetem, but at this point it looks like it will be Dorian #2, possibly. But I mentioned this in my August Tropical Forecast, that the northern area of where tropical systems normally are in the Eastern and Central Atlantic, would be active. But anyway thanks for reading and stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest weather updates.
NOTICE: THE TROPIAL UPDATE PAGE WILL GO BACK ON TROPICAL ALERT, AND WILL INCLUDE EVERYTHING YOU NEED FOR THESE TWO TROPICAL INTERESTS, DEVELOPMENTS.