Friday, March 1, 2013

Wednesday - Thursday Snowstorm?


 As we are coming close to the end of winter, we likely have one last storm to track. The models have been up and down with this storm today but the models are in general agreement that this storm will effect the northeast. Next you should know is today is really the first day the models have indicated this storm being a major event for us, the models yesterday and a few days ago showed a southeast storm with minimal effects to us. But if you like snow, the models look to be trending towards a big snowstorm Wednesday - Thursday.
Here are the summary's of the different models and what they said today.

00 GFS: Minimal effects to Pennsylvania and New Jersey, to Massachusetts, storm glides to the south and strengthens off shore.

12Z GFS: Major snowstorm occurs with heavy snow accumulations to area's south of Concord, New Hampshire, and less snow at the coast.

00Z EURO: Large snowstorm to area's north of DC and with 12" + snowfall totals in Pennsylvania to Massachusetts.

12Z EURO: More south with the storm with significant accumulations to the south. Highest snowfall in southern Pennsylvania with 6 inches possible.

CMC:  Disruptive snow to the area. All snow with large accumulations.

JMA: Big snowfall and cold temperatures as far south as DC.

Here are some snowfall accumulations being indicated by the models. This event is still far out, and there is still uncertainty with snowfall.

00Z GFS SNOWFALL:






12Z GFS SNOWFALL:




00Z EURO SNOWFALL:



12Z EURO SNOWFALL:


HERE IS MY SNOWFALL AREA'S VERY PRELIMINARY FORECAST MAP:







6 comments:

  1. Thank's for your prediction. Just one thing, I'm 13. Even though your 12, you are better than John.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Moderate is 6-12. So 6-12 it is.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Moderate is moderate, I cant really say accumulations at this point because of the uncertainty of the track and other factors surrounding this storm, but moderate = watch the storm. Haha.

      Delete
    2. But what do you consider moderate?

      Delete

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