Will There Be Severe T-Storms Tomorrow? Find Out!

          The past several days have been filled with threats for strong to severe thunderstorms. So will tomorrow be the same kind of thing? Well it really depends on where you exactly live. If you are in Ohio or New York, you don't need to be concerned, but if you are located in Eastern PA, most of New Jersey and on the central and western part of the Del-Mar-Va, you run into some small problems. This area is where some storms could turn on the strong side, so just keep an eye on the radar tomorrow! Also keep in mind of the flash flood threat because we have has lots of rain and a little to much in some places. Here is tomorrows severe thunderstorm forecast.  Be sure to stay tuned in to Northeast Weather Action for the latest weather forecasts and updates, have a great Friday night!

Weekly Weather Update: Rainy Weather Is Down The Pipeline! See When and How Much!

          I take you through a few models to express the significant amounts of rain on the way for the northeast. We also take a quick look at the temperatures and overall the next 10 days in weather. Don't forget to like Northeast Weather Action on facebook!

July 2013 Weather Forecasts Are Here!

          Overall from the indications of the models and patterns, we here in the northeast will see above average precipitation and above average temperatures in the northern part of our area. Here are the outlooks for July of 2013, I hope you like them!

Heat Wave's Forecast Highs

          Monday through Wednesday will likely be the hottest days overall throughout the area with highs topping out in the 80's and 90's region wide. Little or no rain is expected in the time period with possibly some pop-up thunderstorms because just of how hot it will be. On Thursday - Saturday, highs could still be looming around 90 from Southern Pennsylvania, and south. Here are the forecast highs for Monday - Wednesday.

Long Range Lookout: What Will The Weather Be Like After The Heat Wave? Find Out!

          I'm sure by now you must of heard about the upcoming heat wave that will be sitting on the northeast. After that, little to no precipitation is expected to fall during this period, which could force you to use those sprinklers. But after the heat wave, what comes next? Well there are various answers to that question and so lets get started. The start of the long range lookout obviously starts after the heat wave passes on by. So lets use the golden tool to get the answer to that question, weather models. Lets start with the ecmwf model, or what we like to call the euro model. The euro model indicates a wetter and more active pattern along with below normal temperatures for this time of year starting the later part of next week. It shows storms one after another impacting nearly the same areas with rainstorms and overall has the whole region is below average in terms of temperatures.

          I would think you might want to figure out that area that could possibly receive significant amounts of rain. Well this region sits anywhere from Northern Ohio, through Western New York, and almost all of the state of Pennsylvania. Keep in mind, this area could easily be bumped around and that nothing is nailed in stone, or guaranteed yet. This like I said would be late next week, but the below normal temperatures wouldn't set in until about the weekend before the 4th of July. But lets get back to the precipitation part of this event and then later I will go more into detail about the upcoming temperatures. So going back to the models and how they continue to like a certain region to get the most rainfall. Here is the second rainstorm out of the two on the euro model.

          You can really see both storms pretty good in this model. First you see the exiting storm off of the Southern New England - Long Island Coastline. After that the second storm is mainly in Pennsylvania and about to enter New Jersey. Next you also notice Western New York receiving rain. Generally a good 1 to 2 inches of rain are possible from both storms combined anywhere from Central and Southern New Jersey, into all of Pennsylvania, as well as Northern Ohio and Western New York. And then around a half an inch to and inch of rain is looking likely from Northern New Jersey, down onto the Del-Mar-Va and into Maryland, through West Virginia. So that is the story for the precipitation side of things, now lets get to the temperatures that are looking likely after this heat wave.

          By two weekends from now, cooler temperatures, mainly in the 60's and 70's will set in across the northeast. What is looking like to play it is a trough from Ontario up in Canada will likely dive south into the Great Lakes and northeast, reducing the temperatures significantly. In a way just kicking the heat out the door, or shoving back into the southeast US. Temperatures will likely range from the mid to upper 60's in Northern New England and Northern New York, and then lower 70's across Central and Southern New England, as well as Central and Southern, as well as Western New York. After that lower to mid 70's are expected to occur from the Appalachian Mountains in Western and Central Pennsylvania, to the Poconos. Lastly the mid to upper 70's are looking most likely in all of New Jersey, and on into Eastern PA and the Del-Mar-Va. Here is what I am describing in a map form, from the euro model.

          Now this map could be under-doing the temperatures just a little, as the euro usually does. But I think overall you can kind of get the sense that cooler temperatures are on the way, but first we have to get through the heat wave. Now I keep on saying adjectives like cooler, and below normal. I really want to make you second guess those words because I said this a few weeks ago and to me, it almost sounds like I am saying it's going to be so cold you are going to need jackets. No, what I am trying to say is cooler than average temperatures are coming, out normals this time of year range from the mid 80's to the low 70's, of course depending on where you are located. After that, we have no good idea on how long these below normal temperatures are going to last, so don't get out of that summer mood! Thank you for reading and be sure to stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest weather forecasts and updates! Have a great weekend and enjoy that pool next week! 

Expected High Temperatures During Height Of Heat Wave

          With the first official heat wave possible for areas as far north as New England, this event will give you a warm welcome to summer, literally. A heat wave is an event with three or more 90 degree days in a row, and this is possible from Monday through Thursday of next week. So get ready for the heat and the sun will also be out. Barely no rain is expected during this period. Possibly some pop-up thunderstorms are possible just because it is going to be so hot! Here is the forecast map for how hot the northeast will get!

A Heat Wave Is On The Way! Find Out When and How Hot!

I take you through the upcoming heat wave approaching the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic and detail when and how hot it will get! Please like Northeast Weather Action on facebook!

Weekly Weather Update

Find out what kind of weather is on the way here in the Eastern US, is a heat wave on the way for the beginning of summer? Find Out Don't forget to like Northeast Weather Action on facebook!

Preliminary 2013 - 2014 Winter Outlook

I take you in depth on the preliminary winter outlook and go through the factors that have effects on winters. Find Out what you could see for this winter! Please like Northeast Weather Action on facebook! Also visit http://newxaction.blogspot.com/ !

Tomorrow's Severe T-Storm Threats

             Tomorrow will definitely not pack the magnitude and widespread nature of strong and severe thunderstorms as today, but there will still be a decent threat of storms. The area with the highest threat of strong to severe thunderstorms tomorrow will be from central Ohio and into southern Pennsylvania, then sliding over to the Jersey Shore. Damaging winds and small hail could be imbeded in severe thunderstorms, so watch out for the threat of that. this forecast also has futurecast radars for those who love graphics! Stay safe and have a great evening!

Sunday - Monday WPC Total Precipitation Forecast

          As if we need more rain, but don't worry, this event is not going to be like the latest rainstorms we have just had. The rain from this event will be centered in Western new York, where there will be straight rain, and into New England. But as you head into Ohio, PA, and into New Jersey, you run the risk for strong  and/or severe storms.

Tomorrow 12 AM – Friday 10 AM Final Rainfall Forecast

          Here are the final thoughts on rainfall coming early tomorrow morning through around 10 AM Friday and also the updated rainfall totals forecast from the Weather Prediction Center.

Largest Severe Weather Outbreak Of Year Arriving Tomorrow

          We have had severe weather events and a few outbreaks, but nothing terribly big in terms of severe weather. That is until tomorrow when an extreme severe thunderstorm threat is expected for a portion of the region. Widespread severe thunderstorms will likely impact every portion of this certain region. Watch out for extremely heavy downpours and violent winds, as well as large hail and possibly a few tornadoes. Here is the forecast for tomorrow's severe thunderstorm threats.

New Thoughts On Wednesday Night - Friday Morning Rain Event

          Yesterday parts of the region received moderate rain all day, like in New England. Meanwhile other sections of the region like Northern Maryland, dealt with tornadoes. Today scattered showers and thunderstorms will be throughout the area. Don't forget about last week's rain from what was Tropical Storm Andrea, or the remnants of it. So with all of this rain, can we possibly expect more. After all, cities like New York City are having one of the top 10 wettest June's of all time, and we are only a third of the way into the month.

          This answer to the previous question is yes, do to the active pattern that is constantly tracking storms through the Midwest and Ohio Valley, straight into the Northeast. Now lets get to details on this rainstorm. Showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon across Western PA and New York, as well as Central and Northern Ohio could be severe, with possibly a derecho, which is a long line of severe thunderstorms that cause widespread amounts of damage. This name might seem very familiar to you. It would at around this time last year, two derechos swept through Ohio and from Harrisburg, PA to Richmond, Virginia. These prompted long lasting power outages. Which did not mix the the heat wave we experienced shortly after derechos.

          After Wednesday, a low pressure system will approach the region Thursday Morning, shortly after, still likely during Thursday Morning, the storm system will push into Northern Ohio and into Western PA. Heavy is likely to fall, especially on the northern side of the system, which is being indicated on the new models. This. is causing the forecast to change drastically and could still go either way, and could just be a trend that could change. After the rainfall moves into Western PA and Western New York, it will move into Eastern New York as well as Central and Eastern Pennsylvania by around the early afternoon hours on Thursday. 

          The system is actually looking pretty intense, being forecasted a 997 MB storm in Southeastern PA. When Friday Morning rolls around, the area of low pressure will likely be around Long Island, or just south of it. The rain extent should reach up through Southern New England and into Central New England. Now the southern end of the rain is still more out there, or unknown. On the model I am about to show you, you will see what I am talking about. Here is the new 00z GFS for late Thursday Night, with the low centered in Southeastern PA.

          As you can see, it's clear the majority of the rainfall produced by this storm in on the northern side of the system. This is the variable that still has many possibilities but is now becoming more certain. Many models are now showing this solution, so the forecast has changed greatly and looks to be holding throughout the most recent model forecasts. Keep tuned into Northeast Weather Action for the latest rainfall forecasts on this storm. Also stay here because many more storms are coming our way, take my word when I say that. For now I will leave you with the new rainfall forecast for Wednesday Night through Friday at around of just before noon. Thanks for reading!

Weather Prediction Center's Rainfall Forecasts

Day 1 Rain Forecast:

Day 2 Rain Forecast:

Day 3 Rain Forecast:

Days 1 - 3 Total Rain Forecast

Updated Rainfall Totals Forecast For This Afternoon Through Tuesday Night

          Here is the new rainfall forecast for this afternoon - Tuesday Night. As you can see, the forecast totals are really rising. This is thanks to the precipitation now looking more widespread instead of yesterday when we were thinking thunderstorms and heavy rain only by the coast. Now it looks like the heaviest rain will be from around Springfield, MA through areas in and close to Scranton, PA. But overall areas anywhere from Watertown, New York, to Boston. This will be a significant rainfall for the region so stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest forecasts and updates on this rainy situation as well as all other northeast weather action. The final rain forecast for this event will be released around the middle part of this afternoon.

Sunday Night – Tuesday Morning Rain Totals Forecast

          Here is the new rainfall forecast for Sunday Night through Tuesday Morning. As you can see more rain is expected to fall, and just add the the rainfall we have already had. After this system passes, many more rainstorms are expected from the active pattern this month. Get ready for one of the wettest June's in several years! Keep it here at Northeast Weather Action for the latest updated forecasts on this storm as well as many other rainy encounters we will have in the next few weeks! Here is the new 12z Euro model showing the rainfall that could be produced by this storm system.

Is Even More Rain Coming? Find Out!

          Tropical Storm Andrea impacted the northeast with heavy rain in  with rainfall amounts in excess of six inches in some locations. So this might have you thinking we are going to have lots of sun now, well that is not correct really at all. A strong low pressure system in the central and high plains will dump heavy rain there, which is good for them because of the upcoming fire season. But where exactly will all of this rain go, well read on to find out! Well the low will glide east into the Midwest and them through the Ohio Valley, eventually into our region, by Monday. The low will then cut through western Pennsylvania and central New York, and into west-central New England, through Maine.

          The rainfall totals should be a widespread 1 to as many as 3 inches. The most rain will fall in an area that was hammered by lots of rain yesterday, New England. Here is the HPC's rain forecast for the next 1 - 3 days, but this is not the only storm that is coming to our area, so be sure to read on after the forecast graphic.

          Yet another rainstorm is coming for the middle of next week, but the track of it will be slightly more south then this storm coming on Monday. This storm will ride though central and northern Ohio, into extreme southwestern New york and western PA. From this point the storm will, likely go into south central Pennsylvania, into northern West Virginia, and Maryland and New Jersey. Rainfall from that will be from about 1 to as much as 2 inches. Keep stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest rainfall forecasts on these storms as well as forecasts and outlooks on all northeast weather action!

Rain Still To Fall From Fast Moving T.S. Andrea + Tropical Storm Andrea’s Effected Areas And Forecast Track

Rain Still To Fall From Remnants Of Tropical Storm Andrea