Will There Be Severe T-Storms Tomorrow? Find Out!

          The past several days have been filled with threats for strong to severe thunderstorms. So will tomorrow be the same kind of thing? Well it really depends on where you exactly live. If you are in Ohio or New York, you don't need to be concerned, but if you are located in Eastern PA, most of New Jersey and on the central and western part of the Del-Mar-Va, you run into some small problems. This area is where some storms could turn on the strong side, so just keep an eye on the radar tomorrow! Also keep in mind of the flash flood threat because we have has lots of rain and a little to much in some places. Here is tomorrows severe thunderstorm forecast.  Be sure to stay tuned in to Northeast Weather Action for the latest weather forecasts and updates, have a great Friday night!

Today's Severe Thunderstorms Threats - Nothing Like Yesterday

          Today there will be some isolated strong thunderstorms, but mainly more shower activity and a few embedded storms. Yesterday we had many flash flood warnings and several severe thunderstorm warnings, as well as even a few tornadoes in Pennsylvania. But that was yesterday, today is not expected to be anything close to that magnitude.

          Overall there is a low threat of strong to severe storms across the region with a moderate threat which is still not noticeable, in New Jersey and on the Del-Mar-Va. This is the area where some wind damage in storms are possible. So you don't have much to worry about when going to outdoor activities. Here is today's severe thunderstorm threats forecast, have a great day and stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest forecasts and updates on all northeast weather action!

Full Weekend Weather Forecast

          As far as weather conditions go, isolated thunderstorms with some rain showers in Northern Maine. Temperatures should be in the 70's and 80's widespread throughout the region.

Updated 7 Day Rainfall Forecast

          Overall significant rain is still expected to fall everywhere in the region. Here is the updated 7 day rainfall forecast.

Now Through Late Next Week's Rainfall Forecast : To Be Wet

       In the past few weeks, we have not had much rain across the region. In the next 7 days, several storms will give every area in the region a high chance of seeing a significant amount of rain. It's looking like the most rain will fall in Eastern Pennsylvania and Eastern New York, where around 4 - 5 total inches of rain is expected to fall in the next 7 days. In the next week, just about every other day an individual storm will arrive in the region just to soak areas that have all ready had a shower. So just how much rain are we in the northeast as a whole expecting, well here is the forecast for the next 7 day's rainfall all in one combined forecast.

Today's New Severe Thunderstorm Threats Forecast

         Today will likely be the worst day of the week when it comes in terms of strong to severe thunderstorms. There will likely be widespread thunderstorms especially in New York and Pennsylvania. The storms could pack damaging winds and very heavy downpours. Here is the updated forecast for the t-storm threats index.

Wednesday's Updated Severe Thunerstorm Index

          The threat today will be the smallest of the week overall. Isolated strong storms could be upon some areas but no real widespread severe t-storm threat is expected. But stay right here to Northeast Weather Action because it is looking like tomorrow and Friday could hold significant threats for severe thunderstorms! Here is today's updated severe thunderstorm index.

Weekly Weather Update: Rainy Weather Is Down The Pipeline! See When and How Much!

          I take you through a few models to express the significant amounts of rain on the way for the northeast. We also take a quick look at the temperatures and overall the next 10 days in weather. Don't forget to like Northeast Weather Action on facebook!

TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH BOXES ISSUED

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 361

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Public | Counties | Probabilities | Aviation | Warnings | Initial RADAR

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Low Very Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind Moderate Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Moderate Moderate Note: Click for Watch Status Reports. WOUS64 KWNS 251908 WOU1 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 361 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 310 PM EDT TUE JUN 25 2013 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 361 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MEC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029- 031-260300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0361.130625T1910Z-130626T0300Z/ ME . MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDROSCOGGIN AROOSTOOK CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN HANCOCK KENNEBEC KNOX LINCOLN OXFORD PENOBSCOT PISCATAQUIS SAGADAHOC SOMERSET WALDO WASHINGTON YORK NHC001-003-007-009-013-015-017-019-260300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0361.130625T1910Z-130626T0300Z/ NH . NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELKNAP CARROLL COOS GRAFTON MERRIMACK ROCKINGHAM STRAFFORD SULLIVAN VTC001-005-007-009-011-015-017-019-021-023-027-260300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0361.130625T1910Z-130626T0300Z/ VT . VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADDISON CALEDONIA CHITTENDEN ESSEX FRANKLIN LAMOILLE ORANGE ORLEANS RUTLAND WASHINGTON WINDSOR ANZ050-051-052-150-151-152-153-154-260300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0361.130625T1910Z-130626T0300Z/ CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT 25 NM PENOBSCOT BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT 25 NM CASCO BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM ATTN...WFO...GYX...CAR...BTV...

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362

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Public | Counties | Probabilities | Aviation | Warnings | Initial RADAR

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Low Very Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind High Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Moderate Low Note: Click for Watch Status Reports. WOUS64 KWNS 251935 WOU2 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 362 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 340 PM EDT TUE JUN 25 2013 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 362 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MDC023-260400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0362.130625T1940Z-130626T0400Z/ MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GARRETT OHC003-005-007-009-011-013-019-021-023-029-031-033-035-037-041- 043-045-047-049-055-057-059-063-065-067-073-075-077-081-083-085- 089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121- 123-127-129-133-135-139-143-147-149-151-153-155-157-159-167-169- 173-175-260400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0362.130625T1940Z-130626T0400Z/ OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN ASHLAND ASHTABULA ATHENS AUGLAIZE BELMONT CARROLL CHAMPAIGN CLARK COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA DARKE DELAWARE ERIE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN GEAUGA GREENE GUERNSEY HANCOCK HARDIN HARRISON HOCKING HOLMES HURON JEFFERSON KNOX LAKE LICKING LOGAN LORAIN LUCAS MADISON MAHONING MARION MEDINA MERCER MIAMI MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MORROW MUSKINGUM NOBLE OTTAWA PERRY PICKAWAY PORTAGE PREBLE RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA SHELBY STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS UNION WASHINGTON WAYNE WOOD WYANDOT PAC003-005-007-019-031-051-053-059-063-065-073-085-121-125-129- 260400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0362.130625T1940Z-130626T0400Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER BUTLER CLARION FAYETTE FOREST GREENE INDIANA JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MERCER VENANGO WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND WVC001-009-017-029-033-049-051-061-069-073-077-085-091-093-095- 103-107-260400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0362.130625T1940Z-130626T0400Z/ WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBOUR BROOKE DODDRIDGE HANCOCK HARRISON MARION MARSHALL MONONGALIA OHIO PLEASANTS PRESTON RITCHIE TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER WETZEL WOOD LEZ142-143-144-145-146-147-148-163-164-165-166-167-168-260400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0362.130625T1940Z-130626T0400Z/ CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...RLX...ILN...IWX...

Today's Updated Severe Thunerstorm Threats Index

          Today is going to have the same general threats as yesterday, but possibly an elevated threat level in some areas. Thunderstorms today are looking to be just as widespread as yesterday packing the threats of damaging winds, small hail, and cloud to ground lightning. The chance of tornadoes today is very low. The rest of the week could hold even higher probabilities for strong to severe thunderstorms so make sure you stay right here at Northeast Weather Action for the latest forecasts and updates, as there will be many. Here is today's updated severe thunderstorms threats index. Stay safe and have a great rest of your Tuesday! 

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Could Be Issued

Mesoscale Discussion 1218

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1218 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1122 AM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013 ..VT...PA...NERN OH...EXTREME NRN WV PANHANDLE. CONCERNING... AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NY .SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 251622Z - 251845Z ALLY ISOLATED/DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE REGIME PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...INIT IACROSS THIS AREA MAY INTENSIFY AND GROW IN COVERAGE DURING NEXT FEW HOURS PECIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ANY AGGREGATED COLD POOLS -- AND ISOLATED OF DESTABILIZATION. MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE SPORADIC DAMAGING GUSTS -- E S/MRGL HAIL. DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING NERN THROUGH NWRN PA...WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS FORE IN BROAD ARC OF WEAK TO NONEXISTENT MLCINH EVIDENT FROM CENTRAL NY SWWD ACROS SGOING AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE DIABATICALLY. ONE POTENTIAL GENESIS AREA FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION AND SHIFT EWD ACROSS HUDSON VALLEY...CENTRAL-ERN PA AND NERN OH...PR COULD BE LAKE-BREEZE BOUNDARIES...ESPECIALLY COMING OFF LE OVER NERN OH AND PA. AS THESE TRENDS CONTINUE IMARY STORM MODE SHOULD BE MULTICELLULAR...PERHAPS EVOLVING INTO SMALL BOWS WHERE ANY PRECIP-LOADING RELATED COLD POOLS CAN DEVELOP FOR TIONS VT...CONTRIBUTING TO PATCHWORK OF MLCAPE VALUES RANGING FROM 1 FORWARD-PROPAGATIONAL PURPOSES. SFC DEW POINTS RANGE FROM MID-60S F OVER MUCH OF PA TO UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S ON OH AND ERN NY AND PO R000-2000 J/KG NEAR SFC MOIST AXES...GIVEN ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS OF INSOLATION-RELATED WARMING APPLIED TO RAOBS AND MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS. WEAK MID-UPPER PERTURBATION MOVING EWD ACROSS ERN VEL BOUNDARIES FOR FOCI...AT LEAST INITIALLY PRIOR TO ANY COLD-POOL ONT/WRN NY REGION ALSO MAY BE CONTRIBUTING DESTABILIZATION ALOFT VIA DCVA. LIMITING FACTORS FOR ORGANIZED SVR POTENTIAL INCLUDE 1. LACK OF ANY OTHER SUBSTANTIAL/SIGNIFICANT LOW-L EFORMATION... 2. WEAK SFC FLOW...LIMITING CONVERGENCE...AND 3. WEAK DEEP SHEAR ACROSS THIS ENTIRE AREA -- EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES ONLY 15-25 KT. ..EDWARDS/KERR.. 06/25/2013 ATTN...WFO...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ... 98 CLE... LAT...LON 45007198 43697257 42747326 41397471 40197642 40067830 40698095 41258229 41418187 41578145 41788093 42127989 42547906 42887870 43217759 43297656 43997618 44457580 44817531 44977472 45007 1

Tomorrow's Beach Forecasts

          Tuesday should be a pretty nice day for our regions beaches. Overall mostly sunny skies will be the ruler with some very isolated thunderstorms, that if happen will not ruin your beach day! Have a great Tuesday and stay right here for the latest severe thunderstorm updates, here are the forecasts!

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Area Reduced

Not current radar, graphic only provided to express reduction of the severe thunderstorm watch box coverage.

Monday - Wednesday Severe Thunderstorm Threats Forecast

          The chance is there for strong to severe thunderstorms because of the hot and humid air. These factors will provide instability in the atmosphere and flare up thunderstorms. The threat is not all that big and the thunderstorms will not be that widespread. Here is the forecast for tomorrow through Wednesday.

Possible Severe Thunderstorm Watch To Be Issued

Mesoscale Discussion 1186

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1186 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1201 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN THROUGH NERN NY...CNTRL VT AND NH CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 231701Z - 231900Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON FROM SWRN THROUGH ECNTRL/NERN NY INTO CNTRL VT AND NH. THIS ACTIVITY MAY POSE A MODEST RISK FOR MAINLY LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. SOME SMALL HAIL MIGHT ALSO OCCUR. OVERALL SEVERE RISK DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY ROBUST...SO ANY WW ISSUANCE WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON CONVECTIVE TRENDS. DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON STRONG DIABATIC WARMING OF THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES RISING THROUGH THE 80S. THE LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS MLCAPE FROM 1500-2000 J/KG...AND CUMULUS CONGESTUS IS EVIDENT ALONG SW-NE ORIENTED CLOUD STREETS FROM SWRN THROUGH NCNTRL NY. CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS SUFFICIENTLY WEAK AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO UPPER 80S FOR THUNDERSTORM INITIATION ALONG LAKE BREEZE CIRCULATIONS. THIS REGION RESIDES WITHIN A LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODEST DEEP LAYER WINDS SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELLS. THE WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ULTIMATELY SERVE AS A LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER...THE DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST A MODEST THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY IF STORMS CAN GROW UPSCALE INTO SMALL CLUSTERS OR LINE SEGMENTS. ..DIAL/KERR.. 06/23/2013 ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF... LAT...LON 42637765 43127655 43637533 44247309 44017174 43387175 42537568 42327737 42637765

Tomorrow's Severe T-Storm Threats

             Tomorrow will definitely not pack the magnitude and widespread nature of strong and severe thunderstorms as today, but there will still be a decent threat of storms. The area with the highest threat of strong to severe thunderstorms tomorrow will be from central Ohio and into southern Pennsylvania, then sliding over to the Jersey Shore. Damaging winds and small hail could be imbeded in severe thunderstorms, so watch out for the threat of that. this forecast also has futurecast radars for those who love graphics! Stay safe and have a great evening!

Today’s Severe T-Storm Threats

          It's has been several days since we have had a large scale severe weather event. But today looks to end the cold streak, with a severe thunderstorm watch already prompted across southern New England and eastern New York. With severe thunderstorms firing up, today could have more of an expected severe threat because of the original thinking, while was the majority of the action in terms of severe weather was going to stay Maryland, and to the south. Here is the new map for today's severe thunderstorm threats, and read after the map to see the descriptions of each category.

Extreme Threat: There is an 80 - 99 percent chance you will see a severe thunderstorm within 30 miles.

Significant Threat: There is a 60 - 79 percent chance you will see a severe thunderstorm within 30 miles.

High Threat: There is a 40 - 59 percent percent chance you will see a severe thunderstorm within 30 miles.

Moderate Threat: There is a 20 - 39 percent percent chance you will see a severe thunderstorm within 30 miles.

Low Threat: There is a 1 - 19 percent percent chance you will see a severe thunderstorm within 30 miles.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch In Southern New England

What Happened To The Severe Weather Today?

        As yesterday, the thought was that today we were going to have one of the strongest and most intense severe weather outbreaks of the year. Everyone from the Storm Prediction Center to Northeast Weather Action predicted this. So why didn't we get severe thunderstorms? Well that is a very good question and has a few general answers. I'm sure people from Southern Pennsylvania to Northern Virginia were woken up by a line of severe thunderstorms this morning. Well that line of severe thunderstorms really robbed the atmosphere of all of the instability and shear that was predicted to be present throughout today. After that line of showers and storms passed through the region, we were socked in by clouds which completely ruined the chances of severe thunderstorm formation for today. So in general, the line this morning acted as a shield and protected the area from severe storms.

          When you look at the radar, you see intense severe thunderstorms in Virginia or off the coast. Well now you might ask, why do they have severe storms and we have nothing? Very good question once again, but yet again has answers. The reason is because those locations didn't see the squall line in which we did. This in which opened the door for severe weather and didn't close the door on instability, which we here in the Northeast, had the door closed on by. Many people are grateful for this occurrence, but for the storm chasers, no no no, not today! As always be sure to stay tuned to Northeast Weather Action for the latest updates, forecasts, and outlooks on all northeast weather action!

Derecho Heading Into Western And Central Pennsylvania

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303

Public | Counties | Probabilities | Aviation | Warnings | Initial RADAR

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Low Very Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind Moderate Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Moderate Low